Heerenveen U21 vs Excelsior U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
FCE
0 - 4
HER
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
HER
0 - 2
EMM
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 3
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
HER
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
HER
2 - 2
GAE
79%
12%
9%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 0
CAM
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
HEL
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
4 - 2
ROD
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 4
EXC
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 3
EXC
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |