Heegan vs Mogadishu City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heegan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 1
HEE
42%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
HEE
4 - 1
SAH
52%
21%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
HEE
4 - 1
RAA
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 2
HEE
30%
21%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 3
HEE
35%
22%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mogadishu City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
DEK
1 - 0
MOG
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOG
1 - 3
GAA
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 2
MOG
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 0
MOG
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
MOG
3 - 0
SAH
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |