Hednesford Town vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
HED
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HED
3 - 2
GUI
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 2
HED
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
HED
2 - 2
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STO
0 - 1
HED
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
WOR
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 0
WOR
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
HIS
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |