Hednesford Town vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HED
0 - 2
GAI
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HED
0 - 3
CUR
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 3
HED
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 1
HED
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HED
2 - 3
TOW
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
TOW
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 0
NOR
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 3
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 0
GAI
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |