Hednesford Town vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HED
0 - 3
CUR
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 3
HED
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 1
HED
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HED
2 - 3
TOW
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 1
HED
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 0
BRA
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 1
BRA
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
GAI
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 1
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 2
FYL
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |