Hednesford Town vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 3
HED
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
HED
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 2
HED
19%
23%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
WES
2 - 2
HED
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HED
2 - 2
WES
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
SOL
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
OSS
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
NOR
22%
23%
56%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
TOW
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |