Hednesford Town vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
HED
1 - 1
NOR
18%
21%
62%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HED
0 - 2
GAI
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HED
0 - 3
CUR
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 3
HED
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 1
HED
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
GLO
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 0
WOR
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 2
FYL
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
TAM
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
CHO
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |