Hednesford Town vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
HED
1 - 0
MIC
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 1
HED
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HED
2 - 2
ASH
30%
25%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HED
4 - 0
FRI
57%
21%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HED
1 - 2
BEL
61%
20%
20%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BUX
1 - 0
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ILK
1 - 0
BUX
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
ASH
1 - 3
BUX
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
BUX
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BUX
0 - 0
BAR
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |