Hedensted vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hedensted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OTB
1 - 5
HED
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HED
2 - 3
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
HED
18%
21%
60%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HED
1 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
HED
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
THI
1 - 1
ROS
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SKI
1 - 2
THI
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
KOL
4 - 0
THI
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
THI
0 - 4
AAF
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
1 - 5
THI
4%
10%
86%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |