Hedensted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hedensted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
OFA
0 - 2
HED
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HED
1 - 2
B19
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NAS
1 - 0
HED
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HED
2 - 1
VFF
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
OTB
1 - 3
HED
23%
19%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AAF
1 - 1
KOL
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
AAF
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
AAF
0 - 0
ODD
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AAF
4 - 0
TAR
43%
24%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
JAM
1 - 1
AAF
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |