Hebei FC vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
65%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebei FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 0
HEB
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 1
HEB
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 0
SHE
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 4
BEI
9%
20%
72%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 4
MEI
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
1 - 1
SHA
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
3 - 0
SHE
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 3
SHA
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 1
HEN
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TIT
1 - 1
HEN
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |