Hebei FC vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
71.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebei FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 4
MEI
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 4
DAL
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 6
HAN
11%
21%
69%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 1
HEB
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CBC
3 - 0
HEB
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
BEI
1 - 3
DAL
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 0
BEI
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
43%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
BEI
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
BEI
2 - 2
JWF
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 7 | 66 | 0 |