Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Yanbian Longding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
16º
7º
27
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 50 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 48 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 47 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 33 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
14º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 19 |
16º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
HKF
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 1
HKF
17%
25%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HKF
2 - 1
JIA
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HKF
1 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HKF
2 - 4
WWF
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Yanbian Longding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
YAN
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
YAN
1 - 1
SHA
51%
24%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
YAN
1 - 2
NAN
28%
27%
46%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
YAN
1 - 1
WWF
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
YAN
0 - 5
SDO
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -2 |