Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Liaoning Tieren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
16º
7º
32
8º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 50 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 48 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 47 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 33 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
14º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 19 |
16º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DAL
1 - 1
HKF
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 1
HKF
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HKF
0 - 1
YAN
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
HKF
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 1
HKF
17%
25%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Liaoning Tieren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
YAN
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 1
SHE
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
DAL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SDO
2 - 2
SHE
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
5 - 1
NAN
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |