Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
16º
7º
12
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 50 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 48 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 47 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 33 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
14º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 19 |
16º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HKF
1 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HKF
2 - 4
WWF
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SDO
1 - 0
HKF
22%
27%
52%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HKF
2 - 2
QYI
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HKF
0 - 0
SHA
73%
19%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
JIA
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
GFC
18%
24%
59%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WWF
2 - 2
JIA
55%
23%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 3
HAN
8%
15%
77%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 5
SDO
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |