Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
16º
3º
54
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WWF
1 - 2
HKF
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HKF
1 - 1
SHE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DUF
1 - 0
HKF
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
HKF
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HKF
3 - 2
YAN
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 0
GFC
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 1
WWF
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
GFC
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 0
DTF
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |