HEBC Hamburg vs Rugenbergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
13.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
9º
18º
9º
35
13º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 4
SAS
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VHG
1 - 2
HEB
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HEB
4 - 1
WAN
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
EIM
1 - 1
HEB
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DAS
2 - 0
HEB
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RUG
1 - 6
UTO
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
VHG
5 - 2
RUG
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RUG
0 - 3
WAN
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
EIM
5 - 0
RUG
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
DAS
4 - 1
RUG
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |