HEBC Hamburg vs TSV Buchholz 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
18º
11º
15
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 79 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 78 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 64 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 61 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 58 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 54 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 53 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 42 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 27 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 22 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VOW
1 - 2
HEB
58%
19%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
4 - 0
ATB
79%
12%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
THA
1 - 3
HEB
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 1
NIE
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 2
VHG
41%
21%
38%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALT
18%
22%
61%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
5 - 3
BUC
36%
21%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
ETH
36%
24%
39%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 6
BUC
27%
20%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
HAL
49%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |