Hebar Pazardzhik vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
14º
16º
16º
15
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 55% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FHV
5 - 2
HEB
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HEB
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 0
HEB
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GLO
1 - 1
HEB
57%
22%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 6
PAK
10%
14%
76%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 2
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FCF
0 - 1
SVA
7%
13%
80%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DOB
0 - 1
SVA
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SVA
2 - 0
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUD
1 - 4
SVA
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |