Hebar Pazardzhik vs Slavia Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
14º
16º
16º
8
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 4% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 1
HEB
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 2
SVA
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FHV
5 - 2
HEB
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HEB
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 0
HEB
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FLK
1 - 0
SSO
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SSO
4 - 1
SPO
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
SSO
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SSO
1 - 0
LPL
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SSO
1 - 0
BEL
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |