Hebar Pazardzhik vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
HEB
3 - 0
STR
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
HEB
1 - 1
OFK
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
BER
4 - 1
HEB
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
ARK
1 - 1
HEB
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
MON
4 - 2
HEB
68%
18%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
SEP
2 - 5
LSO
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
SEP
3 - 0
NEF
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
STR
1 - 1
SEP
17%
25%
58%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
FCT
2 - 0
SEP
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
LSO
1 - 0
SEP
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |