Hebar Pazardzhik vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
6º
4º
39
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
39 | 11 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 0
HEB
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 3
LUD
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SSO
3 - 1
HEB
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 0
ETA
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FLK
3 - 2
HEB
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 4
BOT
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
BER
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CVA
3 - 0
LSO
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
CSK
24%
28%
49%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |