Hebar Pazardzhik vs Levski Krumovgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
15º
16º
16º
20
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 61 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 43 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 18 |
16º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CVA
1 - 0
HEB
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
4 - 0
HEB
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 1
BVR
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
HEB
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 2
SEP
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Levski Krumovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
FLK
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
FLK
1 - 1
CSK
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
0 - 2
FLK
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
FLK
3 - 0
BVR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 3
LUD
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |