Hebar Pazardzhik vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
15º
16º
16º
13
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 31 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
HEB
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 2
SEP
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
3 - 3
HEB
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
2 - 2
ARK
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 1
BER
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BVR
0 - 2
LUD
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
FLK
3 - 0
BVR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 1
SVA
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LSO
3 - 2
BVR
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
0 - 3
CSK
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |