Hebar Pazardzhik vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
6º
4º
42
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 11 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
42 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 0
HEB
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 5
LUD
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 2
LSO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 0
HEB
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 3
LUD
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
OFK
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
BER
3 - 0
ETA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
BER
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
LPL
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
BER
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |