Hebar Pazardzhik vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
6º
2º
32
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
BVR
2 - 3
HEB
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 1
SEP
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
HEB
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 1
HEB
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
HEB
60%
23%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
OFK
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
SVA
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
BVR
2 - 0
BER
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BER
2 - 0
SEP
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
HEB
60%
23%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |