Hebar Pazardzhik vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
15º
14º
27
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSK
4 - 0
HEB
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
3 - 2
LSO
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
ARK
1 - 0
HEB
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 2
BVR
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CVA
1 - 0
HEB
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BER
0 - 4
LUD
24%
25%
52%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
BER
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
LSO
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BPL
0 - 2
BER
7%
14%
79%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SSO
2 - 0
BER
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |