Heartland Owerri vs Kwara United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
17.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
HEA
1 - 1
YOS
49%
29%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 1
HEA
45%
30%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
HEA
0 - 1
ENU
47%
28%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ENY
0 - 0
HEA
46%
29%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
HEA
0 - 0
SUN
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kwara United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
KWA
1 - 0
LOB
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AKW
3 - 0
KWA
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
KWA
1 - 0
WIK
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GAB
2 - 0
KWA
54%
26%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MFM
1 - 0
KWA
54%
27%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |