Heartland Owerri vs Katsina United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
30.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
ENY
0 - 2
HEA
61%
25%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HEA
1 - 0
ABI
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 0
HEA
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
HEA
2 - 1
ENU
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
GAB
1 - 0
HEA
43%
30%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Katsina United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
KAT
1 - 1
KAN
51%
28%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
KWA
2 - 0
KAT
33%
30%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
KAT
1 - 0
PLA
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
WIK
1 - 1
KAT
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
KAT
3 - 2
JGS
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |