Heartland Owerri vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ETO
0 - 0
HEA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
HEA
3 - 1
MON
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
TPM
2 - 0
HEA
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
NIG
1 - 0
HEA
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
HEA
2 - 1
KAN
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
ESH
1 - 5
ETO
49%
29%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ETO
0 - 0
HEA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ETO
3 - 0
OLY
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
ZAR
1 - 3
ETO
42%
32%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ETO
2 - 1
TPM
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |