Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Heart of Midlothian vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
PAR
3 - 3
HOM
25%
22%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
CEL
5 - 2
HOM
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
HOM
0 - 0
DUN
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
STJ
3 - 2
HOM
28%
23%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
HOM
0 - 4
HIB
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
STE
0 - 0
VIF
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
VIF
3 - 2
FRI
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
ODD
1 - 2
VIF
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1965 |
VIF
3 - 2
SAR
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1965 |
SKE
1 - 0
VIF
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |