Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 5-1
Heart of Midlothian vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1961 |
HOM
4 - 1
AIR
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
UNI
1 - 3
HOM
44%
22%
35%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
DUN
2 - 0
HOM
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
HOM
2 - 0
HAM
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
HOM
4 - 2
HIB
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
UNI
1 - 0
DIE
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
UNI
1 - 3
HOM
44%
22%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
EEA
2 - 0
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
UNI
0 - 0
LIE
41%
24%
36%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
OLY
1 - 0
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |