Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 6-3
Heart of Midlothian vs FCI Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 2
STJ
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 1
ROS
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 3
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MHE
1 - 0
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FCI Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TIN
3 - 1
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 2
TIN
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
TIN
2 - 1
TRA
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TIN
3 - 2
LEV
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
PAI
1 - 4
TIN
36%
26%
37%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |