Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
12º
6º
30
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 28 |
12º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
52% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 2
HOM
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
DNM
1 - 2
HOM
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 1
ROS
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STM
2 - 1
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
62%
20%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STM
0 - 1
DUN
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MHE
2 - 1
STM
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STM
2 - 1
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STM
2 - 2
KIL
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
STM
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |