Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1998 |
MLL
1 - 1
HOM
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
CEL
1 - 1
HOM
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
HOM
3 - 0
MHE
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
DUN
1 - 1
HOM
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1998 |
HOM
0 - 1
MLL
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
STJ
1 - 3
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
CEL
0 - 1
STJ
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
STJ
2 - 0
ABE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
STJ
1 - 1
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
STJ
4 - 0
HIB
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +2 |