Heart of Midlothian vs Ross County FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
12º
8º
5
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 71 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 61 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 45 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 24 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
46.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
53.5% | 82.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 1
DUN
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 1
VKP
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
3 - 1
HOM
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 0
HOM
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ross County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 0
DUN
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 1
ABE
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GLA
6 - 0
ROS
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
ROS
17%
21%
63%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 1
DUN
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |