Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 5-6
Heart of Midlothian vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
HAM
0 - 1
HOM
23%
22%
56%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1966 |
HOM
0 - 0
DUN
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1966 |
HIB
2 - 3
HOM
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1965 |
HOM
4 - 0
STM
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1965 |
STI
2 - 2
HOM
22%
22%
56%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
ZAR
3 - 1
UDL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1966 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ESP
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
ATM
0 - 1
ZAR
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
CCF
2 - 1
ZAR
26%
27%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 0
VCF
69%
17%
13%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |