Cup 1/16
Global 5-3
Heart of Midlothian vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 1
HOM
16%
21%
64%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
HOM
0 - 1
ABE
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
HOM
4 - 0
KIL
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 2
HOM
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 1
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 1
HOM
16%
21%
64%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
RAI
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 4
FAL
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
0 - 2
DUN
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
HIB
1 - 1
RAI
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |