Heart of Midlothian vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
8º
3º
37
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
PAO
4 - 0
HOM
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 2
PAO
32%
25%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
4 - 0
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 1
RBK
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MHE
2 - 1
KIL
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
MHE
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MHE
2 - 1
HIB
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
MHE
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MHE
3 - 0
EAS
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |