Heart of Midlothian vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
8º
3º
18
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GLA
2 - 1
HOM
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 4
CEL
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 2
HIB
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 1
HOM
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 2
DUN
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 1
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 0
MHE
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 1
LIV
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GLA
4 - 0
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |