Heart of Midlothian vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GLA
5 - 0
HOM
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
HIB
0 - 0
HOM
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 1
LIV
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
ABE
35%
29%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 2
STJ
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 3
LIV
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 0
LIV
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |