Heart of Midlothian vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
HOM
26%
26%
47%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
MHE
1 - 1
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOM
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
GLA
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 3
CEL
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
KIL
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
HIB
3 - 1
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LIV
0 - 0
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |