Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
HOM
0 - 2
ICT
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
4 - 1
HOM
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
HOM
0 - 7
CEL
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
HOM
2 - 2
ROS
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
KIL
2 - 1
PAR
51%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
KIL
1 - 4
DUN
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ROS
1 - 2
KIL
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
5 - 2
KIL
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KIL
0 - 2
MHE
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |