Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
14.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
33%
31%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HOM
1 - 4
GLA
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HOM
2 - 1
HIB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MHE
3 - 1
HOM
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
KIL
2 - 0
ABE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
3 - 1
KIL
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
KIL
1 - 2
HAM
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
KIL
0 - 3
CEL
27%
24%
50%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
KIL
0 - 2
GLA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |