Heart of Midlothian vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
8º
3º
39
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GLA
5 - 0
HOM
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 4
HOM
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
STJ
0 - 1
HOM
19%
26%
56%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 3
HOM
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 1
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 2
HIB
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 3
HIB
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
HIB
1 - 2
CEL
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 3
STM
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |