Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
12º
7º
53
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
58% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 6
HOM
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HOM
3 - 2
KIL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 4
HOM
14%
20%
67%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ABE
0 - 0
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GLA
4 - 0
ROS
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
GLA
2 - 1
UNI
29%
23%
48%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 3
GLA
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
MUD
2 - 1
GLA
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GLA
5 - 0
FRA
83%
12%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |