Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
12º
8º
10
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 71 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 61 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 45 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 24 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
46.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
53.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 0
HOM
17%
22%
62%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 5
TOT
13%
18%
69%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 2
LEY
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HOM
3 - 3
GLA
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
STM
2 - 2
HOM
26%
27%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCU
4 - 4
GLA
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 1
GLA
23%
23%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GLA
0 - 2
MUD
11%
18%
72%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
GLA
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 3
FCN
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |