Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
HOM
61%
22%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 2
HOM
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 0
DZG
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
HOM
1 - 2
GLA
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 0
DUN
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 2
RAI
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 1
RAI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 0
AIR
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |