Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
MHE
0 - 4
HOM
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
STJ
0 - 0
HOM
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
HOM
2 - 4
CEL
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1999 |
DUN
1 - 3
HOM
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
HOM
2 - 2
KIL
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
DUN
2 - 2
DUN
44%
25%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
DUN
0 - 6
KIL
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
GLA
1 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
ABE
3 - 1
DUN
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
DUN
1 - 0
STJ
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |