Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 1
LIV
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
HOM
26%
26%
47%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
MHE
1 - 1
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOM
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 2
ABE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
KIL
0 - 1
CEL
27%
25%
49%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
CEL
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 3
CEL
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 1
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |